bellwether. Republican Gov. Tom Wolf overstepped his boundaries during the pandemic. But the thing that stuck out in my head, every time I read or listened to anything about [Obamas] policies, I saw such a deep revival of division, causing division between the blacks and the whites again, Jacobs said on Sept. 17. Elk Countys approximately 15,000 residents that go to the polls have voted for the eventual winner in all but three presidential elections since 1932in 1940, 1968, and 2012. But Hamilton thinks more changes are needed. HOW THE SPECTER OF COMMUNISM IS RULING OUR WORLD. Will Ohios Wood County Continue to Be a Reliable Bellwether Indicator? We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. In economics, a 'bellwether' is a leading indicator of an economic trend. Only one, Clallam County in Washington, went for former Vice President Joe Biden and only by about a three-point margin. A former Republican stronghold, Wood County supported GOP candidates Gerald Ford in 1976, and Donald Trump in 2020. "The three potentially competitive races in Virginia with Democratic incumbents could be a national bellwether," veteran Virginia political analyst Bob Holsworth told The Epoch Times. Those counties were: Warren County, Ill. Vigo County, Ind. I believe in what they call entitlement programs, Hamilton said. We have vendors and suppliers we contract with, Chamberlin said. He considers Trump pro-life. Jeff Myers, a lifelong Vigo County resident in Riley, on the other hand, wont let the big events of the day, such as riots and the pandemic, determine his vote. Medicare is becoming a joke. Jim Hoft is the founder and editor of The Gateway Pundit, one of the top conservative news outlets in America. dionisia pacquiao net worth; leer un archivo excel en sql server; alix pasquet iii relationship; american gold eagle type 1 vs type 2; sniper spotting scope; When there was, we were making money pulling people out of ditches.. Notify me of follow-up comments by email. We need jobs up here, good-paying full-time jobs, she added. I vote for whomever I think is going to do the better job, whether they are a Democrat or a Republican. Even if the mean likelihood of a match between county and presidential outcome is exactly 50 percent, in the classic argument offered by Deutsch and Madow in 1961, on the appearance of wisdom in large organizations, some counties will, by chance alone, have high records of predictive success and some may even have perfect records, especially if there are many counties and if we limit the number of elections over which we are requiring successful predictions. Mainstream polls are suggesting a Pennsylvania win for Biden, but, if the 2016 polls were anything to go by, theyre about as useful as a screen door on a submarine. Thats a highly Democratic area, but people see whats going on and theyre not happy, Sam said. Former President Trump and his supporters continue to loudly assert that he really won the 2020 election even though all the alleged direct evidence of fraud has not passed the sniff test of local courts, including those with Republican judges. Port Clinton, Ohio. Logistically, its a disaster. The northern portion of the county, in towns such as Rossford and Northwood, is the blue-collar and working-class crowd and Perrysburg is home to upscale housing developments. Nestled along Lake Erie in the northwest of. Just off Interstate 75 at the Pemberville/Bowling Green exit, is Frickers, a popular eatery and gathering place for people of all ages, whereChris Chamberlin ofBowling Green works as the restaurants manager. He worked in HVAC repair with the local pipefitters union and also owns a small concession business, setting up at events. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. The county, located along the Illinois border, has a mix of rural and urban demographics. Michael Sakal is a former reporter for The Epoch Times. Because of the current situation, I have to look at our finances and say, Can I get this new truck, can I hire these two to three new employees, can we go into this new line of business? Given the global context of Russias invasion of Ukraine, they believe higher gas prices and inflation is coming, and theyre not happy about it. One major planned project in Wood County pulled outPeloton, an exercise bike and interactive exercise equipment manufacturer. RIDGWAY, Pa.Tucked into a wooded valley in north-central Pennsylvania is the bellwether borough of Ridgway, the county seat . Thats about 43 percent of the eligible voters in the country, according to a study of nonvoters overseen by professors at Tufts University and Stony Brook University. Those who believe that Donald Trump won the 2020 presidential election have held up his victories in many bellwether counties as evidence of electoral fraud. In 2020, all but one of the bellwethers picked President Donald Trump by a margin of some 16 points on average. Longtime Rep. Marcy Kaptur, a Democrat who has been in Congress since 1983, is running for reelection; Teresa Gavarone and J.R. Majewski are competing in the GOP primary. As for the pandemic, he doesnt think Trump has done a bad job on that. In politics, a "bellwether" refers to a geographic area whose political beliefs and voting preferences reflect that of a wider area. Longtime Bowling Green resident Doug Miller, a conservative and Donald Trump supporter who works as a chief operating officer for a heavy-duty trucking company in nearby Fremont, said the company, which was heavily affected during the pandemic, is still navigating challenges. He worked for a tree service company for some years, but was laid off again. You have to take the lesser of two evils. The roads are bad, the price of gas is high, its one thing after another. Washington state's Clallam County was the outlier, backing Joe Biden in a state he won by more than 19 points. If we dont stop them, if we dont take a stand basically were moving into socialism.. With the price of gas going up, Zulch is afraid of a return to high fuel prices caused by Hurricane Katrina in Louisiana 16 years ago and that soaring costs will again hurt his business. The issues most important to Fannin include the economy, border security, and the virus. Bellwethers must make correct predictions regardless of which party wins election, but polarization makes it increasingly likely that counties will split into ones that vote regularly for a Republican or for a Democratic presidential nominee. When gas went up that time, our sales went down to zero, Zulch said. What happened to our Democratic Party? People need to get a job, get out and work. I dont listen to the news. We can place an order and immediately get an email back of what they dont have. We need creative leadership, Miller said. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. Vigo County voters supported Trump by a 15 percent margin in 2016. They missed in 1908 and 1952, but otherwise, the county has well earned its reputation as a bellwether. Rob Portmans seat, Coppeler said. First, we can readily imagine that some counties demographically/politically mirror the nation, and thus monitoring this small set of counties closely would tell us with high predictive reliability what will happen nationally. . Wood (population 132,248), and Ottawa, are known as bellwether counties for picking the presidential candidate who wins the White Housebut it is uncertain whether Wood County can maintain that reputation. And the thing is, when they have these laws now that they arent enforcing, what good is another law going to be? Shepherd said being able to bear arms is of particular importance now and she fears Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden would restrict that right. County residents had voted for the presidential candidate who won the White House for nearly 60 years, since Democrat Lyndon Johnson won in 1964, according to the Ottawa County Board of Elections. To accept cookies, click continue. Thus, for some sequences of elections there are indeed, bellwether counties. The morale of the people up there is bad. We are a rural county here, Hill told The Epoch Times. Well just have to wait and see who will go into the building. Hes probably the best candidate out there for whats going on in our country right now, Martin said. Myerss morals include being respectful to others, and he thinks Trump has failed in that regard. Bremer County, Iowa Now the places emerging as possible new bellwethers have more racially diverse populations. Two states have announced recounts. Hes concerned a Biden administration would mean an end to fracking, higher gas prices, and utility bill hikes. His morals also include being honest, and he is bothered by what he sees as lies coming from both candidates. Its going to affect trucking, farming, everything. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. Theyve been dubbed bellwether counties and until this year, no president since at least Ronald Reagan has missed even one. (Cara Ding/The Epoch Times). There is another bellwether list of 58 counties that has correctly picked each president since 2000. In 2016, nearly 100 million eligible Americans didnt vote. Ottawa County is on the doorstep of a Democratic stronghold, about 35 miles east of Toledo in neighboring Wood County. Since the 2020 elections, there also have been 879 newly-registered voters bringing the total to 30,248, Board of Elections director Carol Ann Hill told The Epoch Times. They were particularly representative in 2012, when the average 1980-to-2016 bellwether county was just 0.8 points more Democratic than the nation. (Charlotte Cuthbertson/The Epoch Times). Here, a farming operation is pictured in Bowling Green, Ohio in Wood County, a bellwether county in America's Heartland experiencing problems such as inflation and high gas prices, affecting every day life. The median household annual income is approximately, In 2016, nearly 100 million eligible Americans didnt vote. At least Biden is honest, he said. The unequal geographic distribution is a somewhat curious phenomenon of bellwether counties. Terry Titchner, 70, said hes voting for Biden because he doesnt trust Trump. The 19 bellwethers tend to be poorer, whiter, older, and less educated than the rest of the country, according to an August paper by researchers from the University of Denver and the University of New Hampshire. For much of the last decade, historically Republican suburban areas in Franklin, Ohio,. Our roads need to be fixed. Bellwether Counties Went Overwhelmingly for Trump in 2020. Swept up in unproven voter fraud claims, the Shasta County Board of Supervisors has upended the county's election process, canceling its contract with . "If. He pissed off a lot of people. I cannot support a candidate that is not pro-life. Pro-life is one of the top items on his list of issues. Shortages are all over the place, Miller said. Part of his route is driving up to Detroit and Flint, Michigan, every day. The 19 bellwether counties are highlighted in red. The Epoch Times spoke with some voters in Terre Haute and surrounding towns on Oct. 20 to get a glimpse of the bellwether mood ahead of the presidential election. The unhappiness and unsatisfactory conditions have spread similar to the way COVID-19 has, a truck driver by the name of Sam, who also was at Wee Willys, told The Epoch Times. It swung from Barack Obama in 2012 to Donald Trump in 2016, and political science professor Matthew Bergbower says its something akin to a purple county.. The expansion for First Solar was made possible by changes in the U.S. Corporate Tax Policy during the Trump administration. The counties tend to be clustered in the Midwest and the Northeast, with only four of the counties not falling into one of those regions, they said. Your email address will not be published. March 3, 2023 Updated: March 3, 2023. Ohios Ottawa County: Staying Afloat as One of the Top Bellwether Counties in the Country. July 4, 2022 bellwether counties epoch timesdid benjamin franklin help write the declaration of independencedid benjamin franklin help write the declaration of independence Rarely are we really stuck with people in leadership that are fairly moderate. That streak ended in 2020 when voters cast the highest percentage of ballots for Republican Donald Trump14,628 (60.83 percent) to Democrat Joe Bidens 9,008 (37.46 percent). Like all-or nothing bellwethers, counties that closely tracked the election for 12 consecutive elections failed to continue that form for a 13th time. It was easy. The 2012 outcome seemed to be the beginning of a more robust shift to the right for the countywhile the state reelected Obama, Elk County had already moved on. (Michael Sakal/The Epoch Times). Over the past nearly 40 years, presidential elections have observed an intriguing phenomenon: 19 counties in the nation have always voted for the winner, be it Republican or Democrat. They see it as just a show, but I think he is for America. Robert Ellithorpe, an 84-year-old great grandfather, and Navy aviation veteran said he believed the 2020 presidential election was legitimate and Biden received 80 million votes. Now, just because my president is Republican, I expected a swing to the right, but what we have nowthey broke the whole pendulum. I have not seen any division like this [before]., I believe that is because of our current president, so my main issue is that he does not stay president.. Hes an elitist and just couldnt keep his mouth shut. Myers works as an electrician and long supported the Democratic Party along with his union. Their fear is real, mine is. Vance. Right now, its horrible. And this years election is unlike any other, in which mail-in voting has become the norm, injecting an air of uncertainty into a year already full of upheaval. And its just so easy to snowball it to where chances are, if youre not very careful and work very hard in the other direction, you may just [continue a life of crime].. From 1980 to 2012, for instance, these bellwether counties consistently voted within a few points of the national popular vote. Logistics are a nightmare, Miller said. I think it worked out without me.. Hawker said although Ottawa County tends to lean more Republican, he has noticed that a lot of senior citizens who are Democrats have moved into the area. Because the man made a lot of promises in 2016, and I think that he stood up and he kept every one of those promises that he could possibly keep, said Ron Fannin, 69, the local courthouse supervisor. Its education level is a little lower25 percent have a bachelors degree or higher, compared to 33 percent nationally. Im not happy with either party. . People are so worked up about it all the time, stressed out. The last time Ottawa County deviated from its winning choice for president was in 1960 when the county supported Republican Richard Nixon, but Democrat John F. Kennedy won. Fifteen percent is a very large gap to close, he said. This includes personalizing content and advertising. I look at the picture of what hes doing for my country.. He doesnt seem like a really bad guy. Thats about 43 percent of the eligible voters in the country, according to a. of nonvoters overseen by professors at Tufts University and Stony Brook University. There is another bellwether list of 58 counties that has correctly picked each president since 2000. Getting fertilizer can be a challenge.. Unbridled Evil: The Corrupt Reign of Jiang Zemin in China. And we just want that to continue. State residents are awaiting a ruling from the Ohio Supreme Court about whether it will approve the newly proposed congressional map that the Ohio Redistricting Commission submitted to the high court earlier this month.
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